Tax abatements Data analysis

Two Jersey City abatements expire before July ends. Thirty-six more follow.

State records list 38 active agreements ending by 2029. Together, they cover $4.10 billion in assessed property and a $38.8 million annual modeled difference between PILOT billing and conventional taxes.

Jersey City’s next tax-abatement transition is days away. The state’s 2026 PILOT database lists the Liberty Waterfront Urban Renewal agreement ending July 26. SNAPS India LLC follows on July 30. Those two dates open a much larger run: by the end of 2029, 38 agreements now active in the database are scheduled to reach their published end dates.

The group includes familiar waterfront and downtown properties, mixed-income developments, and a small number of affordable-housing agreements. This is not an argument for or against the deals. It is a look at the calendar, the amounts attached to it, and the questions residents should expect the public record to answer as each agreement ends.

38Agreements ending by 202931% of active records
$4.10BCurrent assessed valueAcross the 38 properties
$38.8MAnnual modeled differenceSnapshot, not a cash forecast

The first two account for an $806,000 modeled difference

Liberty Waterfront is the larger of this month’s two scheduled expirations. The state data shows about $1.77 million in PILOT billing and $2.51 million in modeled taxes if conventionally billed, a difference of roughly $739,000. SNAPS India shows about $23,000 in PILOT billing and $91,000 in modeled conventional taxes, a difference of about $67,000.

AgreementPublished endPILOT billingTaxes if billedDifference
Liberty Waterfront U.R.Jul. 26, 2026$1.77M$2.51M$739K
SNAPS India LLCJul. 30, 2026$23K$91K$67K

The published end date is the key fact to verify next. A dated record does not by itself show final accounting, the first conventional tax bill, a possible amendment, or the collection status after expiration.

The largest part of the wave lands in 2027 and 2028

Twenty-six agreements are scheduled to end during 2027 and 2028. Their combined annual modeled difference is $29.7 million, or about 77% of the four-year total. The table uses current values from the state database; it does not project future assessments or tax rates.

End yearAgreementsAssessed valuePILOT billingTaxes if billedDifference
20267$267.5M$4.1M$6.0M$1.9M
202716$1.51B$19.0M$33.7M$14.7M
202810$1.53B$19.2M$34.2M$15.1M
20295$790.6M$10.5M$17.7M$7.2M
Total38$4.10B$52.8M$91.6M$38.8M
Nearly one-third of Jersey City’s active abatement records are scheduled to reach their published end dates within three and a half years.

A handful of properties drive much of the difference

The largest scheduled transitions are not evenly distributed. Two Presidential Towers records ending in 2028 account for a combined $8.06 million modeled difference. Harborside Unit A, 77 Hudson, and 33 Park Avenue add another $10.31 million.

AgreementEnd dateTypeModeled difference
Presidential Towers - NC 100Dec. 31, 2028Mixed income$4.09M
Presidential Towers - NC 200Dec. 31, 2028Mixed income$3.97M
Harborside Unit AFeb. 28, 2027Market rate$3.81M
77 Hudson St. U.R.Jun. 23, 2029Market rate$3.46M
33 Park Ave.Jul. 31, 2027Market rate$3.04M
LHN - Gulls CoveJan. 9, 2028Market rate$1.98M
70 GreeneMay 31, 2029Market rate$1.97M
Vector U.R.Jun. 3, 2028Market rate$1.93M

Why $38.8 million is not a City Hall windfall

A PILOT is an alternative to conventional property taxes on a project’s improvements; the land generally remains conventionally taxed. New Jersey’s Municipal Tax Abatement Handbook also notes that municipalities pay 5% of the annual service charge to the county. When an agreement ends, a typical Jersey City financial agreement provides for the property to return to conventional assessment and taxation.

But conventional taxes are not all municipal revenue. Jersey City’s own 2026 budget explanation says a property-tax bill funds the City, the Board of Education, and Hudson County. Each sets its own levy. Moving a property from a PILOT to conventional taxes therefore changes both the amount billed and how the money is distributed.

The $38.8 million figure is best read as a current annual comparison: $91.6 million in the database’s “taxes if billed” column minus $52.8 million in PILOT billing, with negative property-level differences floored at zero. It is not a prediction of new municipal cash. By the time each agreement ends, assessments, tax rates, appeals, agreement terms, and billing status may have changed.

The timing intersects with Jersey City’s fiscal debate

The expiration calendar matters because the City is already debating how much it collects, from whom, and where that money goes. The proposed 2026 municipal budget includes a 15.5% increase to the municipal tax rate. The administration also launched an audit of more than 100 long-term abatements and proposed dedicating 10% of revenue from certain new residential PILOTs to school capital projects.

Those are separate policies, but they make the next four years of expirations more consequential. If the agreements end as scheduled, billions of dollars in currently abated assessed value will move through a different tax and revenue-allocation structure. Residents should be able to see that transition property by property.

Six questions to track as each agreement ends

  1. Did the agreement end on the published date? If not, what ordinance or amendment changed it?
  2. What was the final PILOT bill and payment? A billed amount is not necessarily the same as cash collected.
  3. What conventional assessment was placed on the property? The current database value may not be the value used later.
  4. When did conventional billing begin? The public should be able to follow the handoff without a reporting gap.
  5. How was the new tax bill divided? City, school, and county shares should be shown separately.
  6. Were there appeals, extensions, defaults, or final-accounting adjustments? Each can change the practical result.

The bottom line

The immediate story is small but timely: two abatements are scheduled to end before July is over. The larger story is the calendar behind them. Thirty-eight active agreements, $4.10 billion in assessed value, and a $38.8 million annual modeled difference are scheduled to move toward conventional taxation by the end of 2029.

That number should not be sold as a windfall or dismissed as an abstraction. It is a public-finance transition large enough to track in detail, one agreement at a time.

Explore every abatement record.

Search the active agreements, compare PILOT billing with modeled conventional taxes, and review the calculation notes.

Open the abatement explorer

Data and methodology: Analysis uses the New Jersey DCA 2026 PILOT Database and Viewer, filtered to Jersey City records active on July 22, 2026. The source file reflects information municipalities report through their user-friendly budgets. Values are rounded for display. The modeled difference equals taxes if billed minus PILOT billing, floored at zero for each property. Published end dates and billing fields should be verified against executed financial agreements, ordinances, tax records, and final accountings before being treated as legal or cash-collection outcomes.